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Thinking, Fast and Slow - Daniel Kahneman
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22. Expert Intuition: When Can We Trust It?

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2022-02-24 02:50:53
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  • Introduction
  • 1. The Characters of the Story
  • 2. Attention and Effort
  • 3. The Lazy Controller
  • 4. The Associative Machine
  • 5. Cognitive Ease
  • 6. Norms, Surprises, and Causes
  • 7. A Machine for Jumping to Conclusions
  • 8. How Judgments Happen
  • 9. Answering an Easier Question
  • 10. The Law of Small Numbers
  • 11. Anchors
  • 12. The Science of Availability
  • 13. Availability, Emotion, and Risk
  • 14. Tom W’s Specialty
  • 15. Linda: Less is More
  • 16. Causes Trump Statistics
  • 17. Regression to the Mean
  • 18. Taming Intuitive Predictions
  • 19. The Illusion of Understanding
  • 20. The Illusion of Validity
  • 21. Intuitions Vs. Formulas
  • 22. Expert Intuition: When Can We Trust It?
  • 23. The Outside View
  • 24. The Engine of Capitalism
  • 25. Bernoulli’s Errors
  • 26. Prospect Theory
  • 27. The Endowment Effect
  • 28. Bad Events
  • 29. The Fourfold Pattern
  • 30. Rare Events
  • 31. Risk Policies
  • 32. Keeping Score
  • 33. Reversals
  • 34. Frames and Reality
  • 35. Two Selves
  • 36. Life as a Story
  • 37. Experienced Well-Being
  • 38. Thinking About Life
  • Conclusions
    • Appendix A: Judgment Under Uncertainty
  • Appendix B: Choices, Values, and Frames
  • Acknowledgments
  • Index
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