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A Mathematician Plays The Stock - John Allen Paulos
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Being Right Versus Being Right About the Market

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2022-02-24 00:22:47
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  • Title Page
  • Dedication
  • Chapter 1 - Anticipating Others’ Anticipations
    • Being Right Versus Being Right About the Market
    • My Pedagogical Cruelty
    • Common Knowledge, Jealousy, and Market Sell-Offs
  • Chapter 2 - Fear, Greed, and Cognitive Illusions
    • Emotional Overreactions and Homo Economicus
    • Behavioral Finance
    • Psychological Foibles, A List
    • Self-Fulfilling Beliefs and Data Mining
    • Rumors and Online Chatrooms
    • Pump and Dump, Short and Distort
  • Chapter 3 - Trends, Crowds, and Waves
    • The Euro and the Golden Ratio
    • Moving Averages, Big Picture
    • Resistance and Support and All That
    • Predictability and Trends
    • Technical Strategies and Blackjack
    • Winning Through Losing?
  • Chapter 4 - Chance and Efficient Markets
    • Efficiency and Random Walks
    • Pennies and the Perception of Pattern
    • A Stock-Newsletter Scam
    • Decimals and Other Changes
    • Benford’s Law and Looking Out for Number One
    • The Numbers Man—A Screen Treatment
  • Chapter 5 - Value Investing and Fundamental Analysis
    • The Fundamentalists’ Creed: You Get What You Pay For
    • Ponzi and the Irrational Discounting of the Future
    • Average Riches, Likely Poverty
    • Fat Stocks, Fat People, and P/E
    • Contrarian Investing and the Sports Illustrated Cover Jinx
    • Accounting Practices, WorldCom’s Problems
  • Chapter 6 - Options, Risk, and Volatility
    • The Lure of Illegal Leverage
    • Short-Selling, Margin Buying, and Familial Finances
    • Are Insider Trading and Stock Manipulation So Bad?
    • Expected Value, Not Value Expected
    • What’s Normal? Not Six Sigma
  • Chapter 7 - Diversifying Stock Portfolios
    • Are Stocks Less Risky Than Bonds?
    • The St. Petersburg Paradox and Utility
    • Portfolios: Benefiting from the Hatfields and McCoys
    • Diversification and Politically Incorrect Funds
    • Beta—Is It Better?
  • Chapter 8 - Connectedness and Chaotic Price Movements
    • Trading Strategies, Whim, and Ant Behavior
    • Chaos and Unpredictability
    • Extreme Price Movements, Power Laws, and the Web
    • Economic Disparities and Media Disproportions
  • Chapter 9 - From Paradox to Complexity
    • The Prisoner’s Dilemma and the Market
    • Pushing the Complexity Horizon
    • Game Theory and Supernatural Investor/Psychologists
    • Absurd Emails and the WorldCom Denouement
  • Bibliography
  • Index
  • Copyright Page
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