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A Mathematician Plays The Stock - John Allen Paulos
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2022-02-24 00:22:49
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Title Page
Dedication
Chapter 1 - Anticipating Others’ Anticipations
Being Right Versus Being Right About the Market
My Pedagogical Cruelty
Common Knowledge, Jealousy, and Market Sell-Offs
Chapter 2 - Fear, Greed, and Cognitive Illusions
Emotional Overreactions and Homo Economicus
Behavioral Finance
Psychological Foibles, A List
Self-Fulfilling Beliefs and Data Mining
Rumors and Online Chatrooms
Pump and Dump, Short and Distort
Chapter 3 - Trends, Crowds, and Waves
The Euro and the Golden Ratio
Moving Averages, Big Picture
Resistance and Support and All That
Predictability and Trends
Technical Strategies and Blackjack
Winning Through Losing?
Chapter 4 - Chance and Efficient Markets
Efficiency and Random Walks
Pennies and the Perception of Pattern
A Stock-Newsletter Scam
Decimals and Other Changes
Benford’s Law and Looking Out for Number One
The Numbers Man—A Screen Treatment
Chapter 5 - Value Investing and Fundamental Analysis
The Fundamentalists’ Creed: You Get What You Pay For
Ponzi and the Irrational Discounting of the Future
Average Riches, Likely Poverty
Fat Stocks, Fat People, and P/E
Contrarian Investing and the Sports Illustrated Cover Jinx
Accounting Practices, WorldCom’s Problems
Chapter 6 - Options, Risk, and Volatility
The Lure of Illegal Leverage
Short-Selling, Margin Buying, and Familial Finances
Are Insider Trading and Stock Manipulation So Bad?
Expected Value, Not Value Expected
What’s Normal? Not Six Sigma
Chapter 7 - Diversifying Stock Portfolios
Are Stocks Less Risky Than Bonds?
The St. Petersburg Paradox and Utility
Portfolios: Benefiting from the Hatfields and McCoys
Diversification and Politically Incorrect Funds
Beta—Is It Better?
Chapter 8 - Connectedness and Chaotic Price Movements
Trading Strategies, Whim, and Ant Behavior
Chaos and Unpredictability
Extreme Price Movements, Power Laws, and the Web
Economic Disparities and Media Disproportions
Chapter 9 - From Paradox to Complexity
The Prisoner’s Dilemma and the Market
Pushing the Complexity Horizon
Game Theory and Supernatural Investor/Psychologists
Absurd Emails and the WorldCom Denouement
Bibliography
Index
Copyright Page
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